The following discussion are selections from EnergyFromThorium.com
I started this discussion
rmaltese
PostPosted: Mar 07, 2009 11:00 pm
I think it’s been mentioned here but thought it important as a strategy to help prevent countries such as Iran and North Korea doing something really stupid.
You know it’s interesting to note that Iran has a geothermal plant and have taken some modern age initiatives to upgrading their energy sources.
Robert Hargraves and others have made the case for other nations starting up their own nuclear facilities and the fact that it is difficult to make nuclear weapons grade materials from LFTR. Well Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden and the rest of the team ought to be considering using “brain power” in exchange for taking Iran in a new nuclear direction. Rather than ask them to halt their nuclear program they could start helping them initiate the first Fourth Generation LFTR’s.
It would serve as both a way of getting free research dollars from an oil-rich country and finding a good prototype to duplicate and improve back in our own countries. I’m Canadian. It would also give Iran a chance to prove it has pure motives. I can see a number of you with low tolerance for friendly relations with Iran but what is the better choice. LFTR technology offers a clear diplomatic solution. Seems obvious does it not?
Response:
Lars
Post subject: Re: Foreign Policy with Countries seeking Nuclear Weapons
PostPosted: Mar 07, 2009 11:14 pm
There are many forms of LFTR. I would oppose a two fluid LFTR to Iran because I can see ways that the technology might get twisted. A break even or even high converter single fluid design would be more appropriate for them for the near term. Later, when we have lights out automation of the power plant with u238 flooding available and continuous positive communication to a international central monitoring station then a completely sealed, self-contained two fluid system would be possible.
Response
Axil
PostPosted: Mar 08, 2009 12:09 am
Lars wrote:
There are many forms of LFTR. I would oppose a two fluid LFTR to Iran because I can see ways that the technology might get twisted. A break even or even high converter single fluid design would be more appropriate for them for the near term. Later, when we have lights out automation of the power plant with u238 flooding available and continuous positive communication to a international central monitoring station then a completely sealed, self-contained two fluid system would be possible.
IMHO, the Fluid blanket designs can safely operate in the first world: US, UK, France. The solid blanket design can operate safely in the third world: Iran, Iraq, and Costa Rica.
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StephenT
Post subject: Re: Do We Need An Official Position on LFTR at EnergyFromThorium
PostPosted: Apr 07, 2009 7:31 am
Location: Sydney, Australia
What about proposing a range of reactors, since there are so many possibilities under the broad heading of MSRs. Choose a few designs targeted at the most viable implementation strategies and give a credible costing and design with a realistic assessment of the technical issues needing resolution and the research necessary to resolve them. What about a design just to burn SNF and obsolete nuclear weapons? That’s got to appeal to everyone, even greenies, as it solves a large and currently unsolvable problem. Also, isn’t there money available for nuclear waste disposal? I may be missing something, but isn’t this a perfect angle for MSR technology.
I don’t think anyone who can do this is going to do it because its a good idea, they’ll do it because they have to. I think it is necessary to create compulsion, because no matter how compelling the case is for Thorium fueled reactors, it is either not needed because there isn’t a crisis yet or it can’t be implemented now because there’s a crisis.
rmaltese
Post subject: Re: Do We Need An Official Position on LFTR at EnergyFromThorium
PostPosted: Apr 07, 2009 9:50 am
Don’t forget the profit motive of the competition.
Also, the “This planet’s not big enough for the two of us”
mentality. LFTR has competition on at least three fronts.
Traditional nuclear, anti-nuclear groups and renewables,
and the carbon mongers.
Yes Thanks vakibs “opposition” or “opposing forces” are better
choices of wording than “competition”
The opposition is not always visible is one of my points
and they often would like to block or prevent progress to further their own interests.
vakibs
Post subject: Re: Do We Need An Official Position on LFTR at EnergyFromThorium
PostPosted: Apr 08, 2009 9:44 am
rmaltese
Quote:
LFTR has competition on at least three fronts.
Traditional nuclear, anti-nuclear groups and renewables,
and the carbon mongers.
More than these three, I think the LFTR has stiff opposition (wouldn’t call competition) from financial and political interests who want to have a low-energy world where the energy supply can be strictly monitored.
Only the LFTR (and IFR style fast breeder reactors) can usher in a high-energy world where fuel supply is not an issue.
Tobin
Post subject: Re: Do We Need An Official Position on LFTR at EnergyFromThorium
PostPosted: Apr 08, 2009 2:04 pm
That’s the crux of the problem. The multiple benefit approach only produces multiple opposition. Choose a specific benefit that has the weakest opposition and focus on that as your “killer app.” “Killer app” is a term that describes how a product is so hugely beneficial comes about that it drags all it’s component parts and methods into wide use with it. Feeding livestock was the killer app for agriculture. Disease control was the killer app for plumbing. The incandescent lamp was the killer app for electricity. Spreadsheet processing was the killer app for personal computers. Private distribution of pornography was the killer app for the internet (sad but true).
Waste management is the killer app that will drive development and deployment of LFTR. It doesn’t even really need to be cost effective since it solves an expensive, deep, and long-term problem for DOE. The heavy front-end costs of development and regulatory approval should be done on the DOE dollar and then the design can find more uses.
Presenting a method to “fix everything” is a shotgun approach that will dilute the efforts to gain support. Targeting a specific problem to a specific customer allows you to concentrate resources to getting the product to market.
A good analogy would be the times in medicine where they win FDA approval for use of a drug for a specific ailment and then use the distribution of that medicine to prove the other uses of the medicine. They basically get the product to market and then extend its use to additional therapies. That’s exactly how Wellbutrin (an anti-depressant) found it’s way into smoking cessation programs.
Now look at your opposition members who might stand between you and your one important customer:
Nuclear operators would love to have waste incinerators that allow them to continue using their current fuel cycle.
Energy control freaks can’t see it as a threat because your business is waste, power production is a byproduct of your main goal of waste reduction.
Greens have to love something that reduces the radiotoxicity of the current fuel cycle but doesn’t immediately threaten to displace renewables.
Carbon mongers are a declining influence.
The bad behaviors of the opposition parties will come to an end at some point but it doesn’t have to be from a direct assault of a competing and as-yet undeveloped method. We don’t have to take these guys on, we just need to let our “killer app” evolve and surface as the right thing to do.
charlesH
Post subject: Re: Do We Need An Official Position on LFTR at EnergyFromThorium
PostPosted: Apr 08, 2009 2:13 pm
Tobin wrote:
Waste management is the killer app that will drive development and deployment of LFTR. It doesn’t even really need to be cost effective since it solves an expensive, deep, and long-term problem for DOE. The heavy front-end costs of development and regulatory approval should be done on the DOE dollar and then the design can find more uses.
Presenting a method to “fix everything” is a shotgun approach that will dilute the efforts to gain support. Targeting a specific problem to a specific customer allows you to concentrate resources to getting the product to market.
A good analogy would be the times in medicine where they win FDA approval for use of a drug for a specific ailment and then use the distribution of that medicine to prove the other uses of the medicine. They basically get the product to market and then extend its use to additional therapies. That’s exactly how Wellbutrin (an anti-depressant) found it’s way into smoking cessation programs.
Yes, I agree. There may be others but that is one killer app. That is why the next big step in the political realm is the LFTR briefing to the DOE yucca alternative “blue ribbon panel” once it is selected.
StephenT
Post subject: Re: Do We Need An Official Position on LFTR at EnergyFromThorium
PostPosted: Apr 09, 2009 6:07 am
Location: Sydney, Australia
I couldn’t agree more, Tobin. The waste management issue is definitely the chink in the armor. Everyone would like to see it solved except the carbon lobby and their days are numbered. All the other benefits have the potential confuse the issue. Even the Thorium fuel cycle is a possible weak point as the Thorium blanket was never fitted to the Oak Ridge reactor, so the whole Thorium breeder concept is still theoretical or, at best, experimental.
Once we have a MSR in every reactor complex, quietly churning away on the reactor’s spent fuel, the benefits will be undeniable and the technology will have a chance to mature in the real world. Proving the validity of the Thorium blanket will be much simpler when the issue of the MSR is an accomplished fact (successful ORNL tests notwithstanding).
In the meantime, insert the thin end of the wedge into the waste management issue and apply a large hammer. The situation is urgent and the benefits are compelling. The world needs this technology sooner rather than later (my house is only a few meters above sea level).
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Axil first posted article on Future Nuclear Power (pdf)
And here is his response
Axil
Post subject: Re: Combating Nuclear Proliferation
PostPosted: Apr 09, 2009 8:45 pm
Thorium Fuel Options vs. Standard Uranium Once-Through Cycle
The preceding discussion suggests that denatured thorium cycles, such as the RTR (Radkowsky Thorium Reactor) and the DMSR (Denatured Molten Salt Reactor) considered here, have a higher degree of proliferation resistance than standard LWRs (Light Water Reactors) operating on the once-through cycle. They could also stretch uranium resources and reduce the production of long-lived waste actinides. However, it is questionable whether these benefits alone are sufficient to motivate the substantial costs involved in introducing a new fuel cycle on a large scale. In particular, the fact that the RTR utilizes existing LWR reactor technology is an advantage in terms of reducing the need for further R&D, but is also a disadvantage with regard to the consensus view that future reactors must have a much higher degree of inherent safety with regard to major radioactive releases than LWRs.
Their uranium savings are also modest, and the higher fuel burn-ups potentially achievable in both modular gas reactors and future LWRs would also result in plutonium of poorer isotopic quality in their spent fuel than in today’s LWRs. By contrast, the uranium savings potentially available with the DMSR are substantial, and some of the characteristic features of all molten salt reactors, especially their small fissile inventory, which can be continuously monitored and the presence of U- 232, facilitate the application of safeguards. They also are designed with a high degree of passive safety, which could limit the likelihood and potential consequences of accidents and sabotage, especially when combined with underground siteing.
While a substantial effort would be required to revive the molten salt reactor concept, which has languished since the operation of two experimental reactors in the 1950s and 1960s, such an effort should be seriously considered, but not for the goal of validating the DMSR per se.
Rather, through modification of the chemical processing system in a DMSR to remove more fission products, it may be possible to combine the proliferation resistance features of the DMSR with the potential for breakeven breeding of a molten salt reactor operated on the pure thorium cycle. After startup, such a Sustainable Denatured Molten Salt Reactor (SDMSR) wouldn’t require any more enriched uranium, and the total amount of mined uranium would be reduced by a substantial factor, 90%. Such a reactor would provide a more proliferation-resistant, and potentially also a safer and more economic alternative to the standard plutonium fast breeder in a situation where there isn’t a need for a rapid growth in installed nuclear capacity unconstrained by a lack of uranium.
Axil
Post subject: Re: Aim High, LFTR energy cheaper than from coal
Posted: Apr 10, 2009 2:28 pm
I am convinced that Steve Fetter, once recent dean of the School of Public Policy at the University of Maryland, is the Obama idea man for energy policy and nuclear policy. I think we can confidently assume that there is a close relationship and continued communication between the people that prepared the “Can Future Nuclear Power Be Made Proliferation Resistant” Study and Fetter. Any errors or misunderstandings about thorium by CISSM I think will get to Fetter and into national policy. I think also that the Lftr as a nuclear waste burner will get to Fetter if such a presentation is made to CISSM. Fetter wants a waste burner.
In this regard, check out Thermal- and Fast-Spectrum Molten Salt Reactors for Actinide Burning and Fuel Production by Charles W. Forsberg
See the section “MOlten Salt Actinide Recycler & Transmuter (MOSART)”
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The old Zenith slogan: The quality goes in before the name goes on.
Lars
Post subject: Re: Aim High, LFTR energy cheaper than from coal
Posted: Apr 10, 2009 4:48 pm
Based on his articles Fetter’s main concern seems to be nuclear proliferation.
“Nuclear reactors themselves are not the primary proliferation risk. The principal proliferation concern among the various elements of a nuclear power system are the enrichment and reprocessing facilities, which can produce materials directly usable in weapons. In addition, the spent fuel is a potential source of plutonium that must be safeguarded to prevent its clandestine separation for use in weapons, and fresh low-enriched uranium (LEU) fuel materials are a potential source for clandestine enrichment to nuclear weapons grade material. Further, poorly secured nuclear materials, including plutonium separated for fabrication into reactor fuel, present a risk of proliferation through theft and transfer to another country or terrorist group.”
For long term proliferation resistance a thorium based, sealed reactor with the processing inside would offer many proliferation advantages. Namely, there would be no excuse for a uranium mine (since we only need thorium at that point), no excuse for enrichment capability, and no excuse for reprocessing that can separate clean Pu from uranium. Further, the spent fuel is nothing but fission products and totally worthless for weapons. We would consume all existing Pu and enriched U. At this point, every concern expressed above has been addressed. The remaining risks are:
1) theft during the initial shipment – which being a one time event we can send the military along for security.
2) breakout and conversion of the reactor to other uses. The sword of Damocles can be used to make the reactor non-critical without enrichment. The Pu contained in the reactor would be much poorer quality than existing SNF and be a much smaller stockpile. The LFTR has an inventory roughly 350kg/GWe and mostly Pu238. An LWR produces 250kg/GWe-year and mostly Pu239 so every two years an LWR generates more Pu than an LFTR contains for its lifetime.
In the long haul this seems to me to be more proliferation resistant than even the DMSR.